Reducing uncertainty : intelligence analysis and national security /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Fingar, Thomas, author.
Imprint:Stanford, California : Stanford Security Studies, ©2011.
Description:xii, 176 pages ; 24 cm.
Language:English
Subject:
Format: Print Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/8461024
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ISBN:9780804775939 (pbk. : alk. paper)
0804775931 (pbk. : alk. paper)
9780804775946 (pbk. : alk. paper)
080477594X (pbk. : alk. paper)
Notes:Includes bibliographical references and index.
Table of Contents:
  • Reducing uncertainty
  • Myths, fears, and expectations
  • Spies collect data, analysts provide insight
  • Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future
  • Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it
  • A tale of two estimates
  • Epilogue : lessons and challenges.