Enhancing strategic planning with massive scenario generation : theory and experiments /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Davis, Paul K., 1943-
Imprint:Santa Monica, CA : RAND National Security Research Division, 2007.
Description:xvii, 58 p. : ill. (chiefly col.) ; 28 cm.
Language:English
Series:Technical report ; TR-392
Technical report (Rand Corporation) TR-392.
Subject:Command of troops.
Decision making -- Methodology.
Military planning -- Decision making.
Command of troops.
Decision making -- Methodology.
Military planning -- Decision making.
Format: Print Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/6375396
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Bankes, Steven C.
Egner, Michael.
United States. Department of Defense. Office of the Secretary of Defense
ISBN:9780833040176 (pbk. : alk. paper)
0833040170 (pbk. : alk. paper)
Notes:Includes bibliographical references (p. 55-58).
Description
Summary:Extends research on model-based exploratory analysis for strategic planning with massive scenario generation (MSG), a technique that combines virtues of human-intensive and model-intensive exploration of "the possibility space." Metrics are identified for measuring the virtues of a particular approach to MSG, and two experiments using MSG are described, one starting with a reasonable but untested analytical model, the other starting without a model but with a list of distinguishing conditions.
Physical Description:xvii, 58 p. : ill. (chiefly col.) ; 28 cm.
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references (p. 55-58).
ISBN:9780833040176 (pbk. : alk. paper)
0833040170 (pbk. : alk. paper)