|
|
|
|
| LEADER |
00000cam a2200000 a 4500 |
| 001 |
1428906 |
| 003 |
ICU |
| 005 |
20130925102700.0 |
| 008 |
930218s1993 mdu b 000 0 eng |
| 010 |
|
|
|a 92003295 //r93
|
| 020 |
|
|
|a 081918604X (alk. paper)
|
| 020 |
|
|
|a 0819186058 (pbk. : alk. paper)
|
| 035 |
|
|
|a (ICU)BID16736126
|
| 035 |
|
|
|a (OCoLC)25246324
|
| 040 |
|
|
|c DLC
|d DLC$dOrLoB
|
| 043 |
|
|
|a n-us---
|
| 050 |
0 |
0 |
|a JK468.I6
|b F66 1993
|
| 082 |
|
|
|a 327.1/273
|2 20
|
| 100 |
1 |
|
|a Ford, Harold P.,
|d 1921-2010
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n92003319
|1 http://viaf.org/viaf/113934744
|
| 245 |
1 |
0 |
|a Estimative intelligence :
|b the purposes and problems of national intelligence estimating /
|c Harold P. Ford.
|
| 250 |
|
|
|a Rev. ed.
|
| 260 |
|
|
|a Lanham :
|b University Press of America ;
|a [Washington, DC] :
|b Defense Intelligence College,
|c c1993.
|
| 300 |
|
|
|a x, 341 p. ;
|c 24 cm.
|
| 336 |
|
|
|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
|0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/contentTypes/txt
|
| 337 |
|
|
|a unmediated
|b n
|2 rdamedia
|0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/mediaTypes/n
|
| 338 |
|
|
|a volume
|b nc
|2 rdacarrier
|0 http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/carriers/nc
|
| 504 |
|
|
|a Includes bibliographical references (p. 333-341).
|
| 505 |
0 |
0 |
|g Sect. I.
|t What Is National Estimating?
|g Ch. 1.
|t The Primary Purpose of National Estimating: To Avoid Another Pearl Harbor-type Surprise.
|t The First Pearl Harbor: The Special National Intelligence Estimate (SNIE) of 4 December 1941 [Excerpts].
|t The 4 December 1941 SNIE in retrospect.
|t Negative factors present in the situation of 1941 which prevented a more effective alerting of U.S. Commanders.
|t The relevance of the 1941 SNIE for present questions of U.S. intelligence and policymaking.
|g Ch. 2.
|t National Intelligence Estimates and National Estimating.
|t The significance for national estimating of subsequent Pearl Harbors.
|t How does "national estimating" differ from the preparing of National Intelligence Estimates?
|t Suggested exercise: Preparing the Key Questions (or the Key Judgments) of a Special National Intelligence Estimate (SNIE) --
|g Sect. II.
|t The Evolution of National Intelligence Estimating -- And the Lessons to Be Learned from This Experience.
|g Ch. 3.
|t The Evolution of Estimates Prior to the Korean War.
|g Ch. 4.
|t National Estimating and the Korean War.
|t The chronology of poor intelligence performance concerning Korea.
|t The significance for us of this experience.
|g Ch. 5.
|t The Development of National Estimating Since the Korean War.
|t The first phase: NIEs and SNIEs produced by the Office of National Estimates (O/NE) and the Intelligence Community, 1950-1973.
|t The strengths of O/NE were many, especially in its earlier years.
|t The principal causes of O/NE's later demise.
|t The second phase of national estimating: the Korean War: The National Intelligence Officers (NIOs) 1973-1980.
|t The third phase of national intelligence estimating: National Intelligence Council, 1980 to date --
|g Sect. III.
|t The Present System of National Estimating.
|g Ch. 6.
|t The National Intelligence Council (NIC).
|t The NIC -- Its makeup and the responsibilities.
|t The types of national estimates produced.
|t The making of National Intelligence Estimates.
|t Suggested class exercise.
|g Ch. 7.
|t The Contribution of other (non-NIC) agencies to national intelligence estimating.
|t The Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA).
|t The military services and national estimating.
|t The Department of State's Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR) --
|g Sect. IV.
|t Tomorrow's Estimative Needs.
|g Ch. 8.
|t National Estimating Must Make Impact on the Policymaking Consumers of Intelligence.
|t Hazards in the relationships between producers and consumers of national intelligence estimating.
|t Suggested class exercise.
|g Ch. 9.
|t National Estimating and Tomorrow's World.
|t Tomorrow's likely world.
|t The significance of tomorrow's world for national estimating.
|t Recommendations for improving national estimating and its impact on policymaking consumers.
|t I. The Bomber and Missile Gaps. [Chapter 3 (pp. 46-69) of Brinkley & Hull's Estimative Intelligence] --
|t II. Intelligence and the Middle East (Yom Kippur) War of 1973. [Chapter 4 (pp. 70-87) of Brinkley & Hull] --
|t III. The A - B Team Experiment in Competitive Estimating. 1976. [Report of the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, 1978] --
|t IV. Intelligence and the Fall of the Shah in Iran, 1978-1979. [Staff Report of the U.S. House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, 1979] --
|t V. Robert M. Gates, "The CIA and American Foreign Policy." [Foreign Affairs (Winter 1987/88), pp. 215-230] --
|t VI. Hans Heymann, "Intelligence/Policy Relationships." [Chapter in Alfred C. Maurer, Marion D. Tunstall, and James M. Keagle (eds.), Intelligence: Policy and Process (Westview Press, 1985), pp. 57-66].
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Intelligence service
|z United States
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067179
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a Military intelligence
|z United States
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh88006556
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a National security
|z United States
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85140387
|
| 650 |
|
7 |
|a Diplomacy.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst00894188
|
| 650 |
|
7 |
|a Intelligence service.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst00975848
|
| 650 |
|
7 |
|a Military intelligence.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01021270
|
| 650 |
|
7 |
|a National security.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01033711
|
| 651 |
|
7 |
|a United States.
|2 fast
|0 http://id.worldcat.org/fast/fst01204155
|
| 710 |
2 |
|
|a Defense Intelligence College (U.S.)
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n83155814
|1 http://viaf.org/viaf/134906722
|
| 850 |
|
|
|a ICU
|
| 901 |
|
|
|a ToCBNA
|
| 903 |
|
|
|a HeVa
|
| 903 |
|
|
|a Hathi
|
| 929 |
|
|
|a cat
|
| 999 |
f |
f |
|i 0d5421df-6e95-59a3-a067-99527613b847
|s bb9cb757-d2c8-5f84-adb0-60d0eeaffa2c
|
| 928 |
|
|
|t Library of Congress classification
|a JK468.I6F660 1993
|l JRL
|c JRL-Gen
|i 2812868
|
| 927 |
|
|
|t Library of Congress classification
|a JK468.I6F660 1993
|l JRL
|c JRL-Gen
|b 38751649
|i 2798532
|
