Sovereign Defaults : the Role of Volatility /

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Bibliographic Details
Author / Creator:Sutton, Bennett.
Imprint:Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Description:1 online resource (26 pages)
Language:English
Series:IMF Working Papers, 2227-8885 ; Working Paper No. 02/149
IMF working paper (Online) ; no. 02/149.
Format: E-Resource Book
URL for this record:http://pi.lib.uchicago.edu/1001/cat/bib/12509797
Hidden Bibliographic Details
Other authors / contributors:Sutton, Bennett.
Catão, Luis.
International Monetary Fund.
ISBN:145190200X
9781451902006
9781451902006
Notes:Available in PDF, ePUB, and Mobi formats on the Internet.
Summary:While the relationship between volatility and credit risk is central to much of the literature on finance and banking, it has been largely neglected in empirical macro studies on sovereign defaults. This paper presents new econometric estimates for a panel of 25 emerging market countries over 1970-2001, breaking down aggregate volatility into its external and domestic policy components. We find that countries with historically higher macroeconomic volatility are more prone to default, and particularly so if part of this volatility is policy-induced. Reducing policy volatility thus appears to be key to improving a country''s credit standing.
Standard no.:10.5089/9781451902006.001