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|a Blindside :
|b how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics /
|c Francis Fukuyama, editor.
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| 260 |
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b Brookings Institution Press,
|c ©2007.
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| 300 |
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|a 1 online resource (vi, 198 pages)
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| 336 |
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|a text
|b txt
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|a "An American Interest Book."
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| 520 |
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|a "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher.
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| 504 |
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|a Includes bibliographical references (pages 173-180) and index.
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|a The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William B. Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / M. Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Ruth Wedgwood, Anne Applebaum, Bernard-Henri Lévy, Josef Joffe, Peter Schwartz, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Notes -- Contributors -- Index.
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|a Print version record.
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|3 Use copy
|f Restrictions unspecified
|2 star
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|a Electronic reproduction.
|b [Place of publication not identified] :
|c HathiTrust Digital Library,
|d 2010.
|5 MiAaHDL
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|a Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002.
|u http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212
|5 MiAaHDL
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|a digitized
|c 2010
|h HathiTrust Digital Library
|l committed to preserve
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| 650 |
|
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|a Emergency management
|z United States.
|
| 650 |
|
0 |
|a International relations.
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85067435
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| 650 |
|
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|a NATURE
|x Natural Disasters.
|2 bisacsh
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|a Voorspellingen.
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| 650 |
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|a Rampen.
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|a 11 September 2001.
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| 655 |
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|a Electronic books.
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| 655 |
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|a Electronic books.
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|a Electronic books.
|2 lcgft
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|a Fukuyama, Francis,
|e editor.
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n82104032
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|a American interest.
|0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2007148988
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|i Print version:
|t Blindside.
|d Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, ©2007
|z 9780815729907
|z 0815729901
|w (DLC) 2007027757
|w (OCoLC)156784828
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